Instant view: Mubarak says he will not step down

http - February 10th, 2011

>Below is reaction from analysts, economists and officials.KAMEL EL-HELBAWY, VETERAN UK-BASED MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD CLERICThe leaders of the army are with Mubarak, but I am not sure now that most of the officers are with him. These speeches will drive millions of people into the street tomorrow after Friday prayers.... We will see more bloodshed and conflict between the regime and demonstrators, so the speeches did not in any way create a positive impact.KENNETH ROTH, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF HUMAN RIGHTS WATCHMubarak's speech is far from the needed break with the abusive system of the past 30 years.... Cosmetic changes are not enough to meet the Egyptian people's demands for democracy and human rights. The US and EU governments should use their influence and their aid to encourage real reform.EGYPT OPPOSITION LEADER MOHAMED ELBARADEI, ON TWITTEREgypt will explode.

">Below is reaction from analysts, economists and officials.KAMEL EL-HELBAWY, VETERAN UK-BASED MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD CLERICThe leaders of the army are with Mubarak, but I am not sure now that most of the officers are with him"Army must save the country now.SEBASTIAN SPIO-GARBRAH, MANAGING DIRECTOR, DAMINA ADVISORSMubarak has lost the support of the majority of Egyptians, the US and the Army -- and his eventual departure from the presidency is all but assured despite the current Shakespearean drama surrounding the protocol for his exit. Mubarak says he will transfer his presidential powers to his deputy Omar Suleiman, but remain 'president.' The farce won't last for long as Suleiman will quickly seek to consolidate power and dispose of Mubarak.STRATFOR GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE FORECASTING COMPANYMubarak may still be attempting to hang onto power, but that does not mean the military does not have a plan. The military likely has anticipated the opposition's complete rejection of Mubarak's minor concessions.Thus, the coming hours will tell whether this is the reaction that the army is waiting for to legitimize their intervention, for if the military does not act, the next likely scenario is for the demonstrations to spiral out of control.ELLIOTT ABRAMS, SENIOR FELLOW FOR MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES AT COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONSMy great fear is that if the demonstrations don't end that the military begins to split over this. You may have younger commanders who don't want to go down with the ship.NABIL ABDEL-FATTAH, AL-AHRAM Center FOR POLITICAL AND STRATEGIC STUDIES 1 2 3 4 Next World Tweet this Share this Link this Digg this Email Reprints

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